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| Steel prices declined in July 2026 even as production, exports and demand continued to rise. |
Quick question: If you bought TMT bars a few months ago and are planning another purchase now, you might be wondering whether prices have actually changed.
Most buyers don't track steel prices every month, so it's easy to miss what's changed. But the answer is actually worth knowing, because steel prices have moved quite a bit in the last two months — and depending on whether you're buying steel, selling it, or exporting it, this news hits you very differently.
Here's what the latest numbers really mean. India made more steel in July than the same month last year. People bought more of it too. But steel prices actually went down — not up. That combination — more demand, lower prices — That's unusual, so it's worth understanding why it happened.
Let's start with the number that actually saves or costs you money
TMT bar (the steel rod used in almost every construction project) cost ₹63,053 per tonne in May 2026. By July, it had dropped to ₹56,698 per tonne.
And it's not just TMT. Hot-rolled coil, cold-rolled coil, and galvanised sheet all softened too, though by smaller amounts. If your business runs on any of these, July was a cheaper month to buy than June.
The bigger picture in one table
| What | July 2026 | Change vs Last Year |
|---|---|---|
| 🏭 Crude steel made | 14.3 Million Tonnes | Up 1.2% |
| 📦 Finished steel made | 13.7 Million Tonnes | Up 1.4% |
| 🛒 Steel actually bought/used | 14.4 Million Tonnes | Up 6.5% |
| 📉 TMT bar price | ₹56,698/tonne | Down from ₹63,053 in May |
| 🌍 India's trade position | Still a net importer | Buying more finished steel from abroad than it sells |
So demand is up, production is up, but prices are down. Usually that doesn't happen at the same time — which is exactly why the import and export numbers are worth a closer look.
If you're buying steel from abroad
Here's the thing — even though domestic steel got cheaper, imports actually grew faster than exports. In July alone, India brought in 702,300 tonnes of finished steel, up 9.5% from last July. But the money spent on those imports jumped a lot more — 40.5% higher, to ₹8,116.3 crore.
Zoom out to the full April–July period and the gap is even bigger. Imports were up 36.6% in quantity and 43.1% in value compared to the same four months last year. That means India spent considerably more on imported steel despite lower domestic prices.
If you're exporting steel
This is where the good news is. Steel exports grew even faster than imports. July exports hit 699,300 tonnes — a 44.1% jump from last July. In rupee terms, that's ₹5,630.2 crore earned from exports in a single month, up 33.4% year-on-year.
In simple terms: even though India still imports more steel by tonnage than it exports, the export side is growing faster right now. If you're an exporter, this is a a good opportunity — demand from overseas buyers is rising quicker than it's rising at home.
Why are prices dropping? Look at the raw materials
Steel doesn't get cheaper on its own — it gets cheaper when the stuff that goes into making it gets cheaper. And that's exactly what happened during July.
| Raw Material | July 2026 Price | Change vs June |
|---|---|---|
| Iron Ore (Lump) | ₹5,450/tonne | Down 4.4% |
| Iron Ore (Fines) | ₹4,700/tonne | Down 3.1% |
| Manganese Ore | ₹18,529/tonne | Down 5.0% |
| Steel Scrap | ₹38,580/tonne | Down 5.1% |
Every single raw material that goes into steel got cheaper in July. That's really the whole explanation for why finished steel prices came down even as demand went up — the cost of making it simply dropped.
One more thing worth flagging: the Nifty Metal Index actually fell 3.2% month-on-month too, even though it's still up a strong 32.6% from a year ago. And the PMI Manufacturing Index — a general health check on India's factories — slipped slightly to 53.5, still above the 50 mark that signals growth, but cooling a bit compared to earlier in the year.
What the big steel companies were up to
A few things happened alongside the numbers that are worth knowing if you deal with India's major steel producers.
SAIL had a genuinely strong quarter. Net profit jumped 138% year-on-year to ₹1,636 crore, on revenue of ₹26,246 crore. That's not a small bump — that's a company having a very good three months. SAIL also picked up a licensing deal with DRDO's Defence Metallurgical Research Laboratory to manufacture specialised steel grades for naval ships and submarines — a sign the company is pushing into higher-value, defence-grade steel, not just commodity bars and coils.
NMDC had its best July ever. The company produced 4.06 Million Tonnes of iron ore in a single month — 31% more than the same month last year. If you buy iron ore as a raw material, this kind of production surge is generally good news for supply availability, which lines up with why ore prices softened in July.
There's also a green angle. SAIL opened its first Micro Pellet Plant at Rourkela — a facility that turns steelmaking waste into reusable material instead of sending it to landfill. Small in scale (0.18 Million Tonnes per year) but a real step if you're a buyer who cares about the sustainability credentials of your steel supplier.
Follow Exim News 24 for daily trade news, policy updates, and practical insights on India's export-import sector.
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Disclaimer: All information in this post is sourced from the official PIB press release dated 6 August 2026 (Release ID: 2295350), Ministry of Steel, Government of India, based on provisional JPC data for July 2026. This post is for informational and awareness purposes only.
